According to the latest data the United States dollar remained unchanged and kept its strong positions after the government of the country provided efficient assistance to large mortgage companies – Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
Due to Hank Paulson – the US Treasury Secretary mortgage companies in a bad condition will get additional liquidity as well as promise for stakes to be purchased in case of the worsening of the general situation at the market.
Asian forex trades finished with the firm United States dollar in relation to majors as the Federal Reserve made no surprises for the markets after the interest rate decision was taken. The interest rates remained unchanged as it was forecasted. The Fed’s officials repeated its fears about the possible growth of the inflation and gave no hints where the interest rates will move in future. The Federal Reserve make no changes in the level of interest rate even after the announcement of the European Central Bank to raise the rates in July.
The forex trades resulted in low Euro after the European numbers showed a trend of decreasing economic data as the European Central Bank wishes to increase interest rates. For instance the German data (Ifo business climate index) decreased by over 2 points throughout the June and has reached the 101.3 point which turned to be quite below the forecasts provided by the experts. The same happened with expectations component that decreased to 97.2 point.
The last forex trades showed the further growth of the Euro in relation to the USD after the comments by the European Central Bank official – Lorenzo Bin Smaghi and unexpectedly high level of the German producer prices. Due to his forecasts there will be further growth of the commodity prices and the interest rates will be increased in case other factors will not contribute to the decline of the inflation level.
The morning forex trades in Sydney resulted in decrease of the United States dollar in relation to major currencies caused by the declined possibility of the interest rates hike by the Federal Reserve. According to last data the USD was traded at 108.18 Japanese Yen and the Euro was traded at $1.5475.
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The possibility of the interest rate growth by the European Central Bank in the next month caused the decline of the United States currency throughout the afternoon forex trades in Asia. It is expected that the European Central Bank will raise the interest rate after such intention was expressed by its president with intention to constrain the inflation.
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The morning forex trades in Tokyo resulted in the growth of the USD in relation to yen caused by the increased demand and possibility of the basic materials costs growth. So the USD reached 105.07 yen and the Euro - $1.5765. However it is expected that the US dollar will decrease soon due to the US unemployment numbers that have increased throughout the May. The jobless level in the US reached the 5.5% point throughout the May instead of the 5.1 percent predicted by the experts.
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According to the latest data from the forex trading sessions the major currencies changed slightly recently due to the US payrolls numbers that are expected to be released soon. It seems that the USD will be affected by the statistics that will likely to decrease by 60.000 for the May. But after the issue of ADP data the experts’ outlook changed to 40.000 growths. In case this growth will occur then the US currency will grow further caused by the facts of the country’s economy stabilization and concentration of the Federal Reserve on inflation problems. Anyway the decrease of the statistics is still an actual thing.
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The USD changed slightly throughout the afternoon forex Asian trading session in relation to Euro and Japanese Yen. However it decreased to euro to $1.5597 throughout the night caused by the announcement of the European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet about the possible increase of the interest rate in the next month after the slowing down the inflation trend. According to David Mann at Standard Chartered yesterday’s changes of Euro will be followed by the new numbers concerning unemployment situation today.
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The USD recent trend is quite positive this fact is caused by the possible growth of the interest rates until the end if the year. According to Federal Reserve Chairmen – Ben Bernanke the inflation continues to grow and it is expected to grow further.
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The forthcoming issue of the US economic numbers and new interest rate by European Central Bank contributes to slight change of the USD in relation to the Euro and Japanese Yen throughout the afternoon forex trades in Asia.
The US data to be issued includes the unemployment report for the May and non-manufacturing index.
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The result of morning forex trades in Tokyo was the certain growth of the USD in relation to major currencies. The reason was the support the USD gained from the Japanese investors. However the short-term forecast for the USD is still quite negative due to the decrease of credit rating of Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley and Lehman Brothers.
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The United States currency decreased a bit in relation to major currencies throughout morning forex trades in Sydney. This was the consequence of the USD decrease in relation to the yen that turned to be the largest one for the last after the possibility of the credit crisis rebounded. Decrease of the credit ratings of Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley and Lehman Brothers contributed to the purchase of the safe haven and lead to the significant growth of the Japanese Yen and Swiss franc. The USD was traded at 104.38 yen and the Euro gained to $1.5541.
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The United States currency decreased a bit in relation to other major currencies throughout the morning forex trading session in Sydney due to the outlook for the weak US economic data and announcements by the Federal Reserve chairman – Ben Bernanke and the president of European Central Bank – Jean Claude Trichet.
The euro slipped on Friday, relinquishing early gains to hit a two-week low against the dollar after surprisingly weak German retail sales figures added to the view that the euro zone economy may be weakening.
German retail sales unexpectedly fell for the second month in a row in April, suggesting cracks in the region's economy which until now had been resilient to a global slowdown even as inflationary pressures increase.