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On Friday the Yen decreased its level against both the dollar and the euro, as market traders came to a conclusion that the worst recession in the global economy is coming to an end, which increased traders’ appetites for more risky assets.

Both dollar and euro rose versus the yen on Friday morning in Asia, as the fear of spreading of swine flu started to vanish. But events, that are about to happen in both Europe and the States will hit the Forex market with declining rates for both currencies.

American currency was pressured in early European trades due to end of month dynamics for fixing. Euro was rising in the first half of the day, reaching the level of 1.3385 against the dollar, and then decreasing back to the level of 1.3200.

During morning Asian trades on Friday, May 1st, both dollar and euro increased versus the yen, as it turned out that swine flu fears of the foreign exchange market are in reality not as bad, as were expected.

Many dealers claim that rising level of the American currency will not last long, because many coming up events, that are due to happen in the United States and in Europe will make many investors sell both the greenback and the euro again.

During morning trades on Thursday the yen continued loosing its positions against both the euro and the dollar, due to the governmental report regarding the decrease in Japanese industrial production by over 22% during the first quarter of 2009, comparing to the fourth quarter of 2008.

On Friday the Dollar hits its lowest level in the past three weeks, decreasing below Y97, as a result of multiple negative news reports from the American automakers, which made players instantly sell a lot of US dollar.

As the Wall Street Journal reported on Friday morning, that American auto company Chrysler LLC may file for bankruptcy as soon as next week, which will lead to a much deeper recession in the American economy, the dollar started losing its positions.

Dollar hits its low against the Yen, the Euro and many other currencies on Friday, as numerous hopeful signals appear in the world, showing possible slowdown in the pace of decline of world economy.

Positive data reports gave support and strengthened both Euro and the Yen. As a result of recent surveys done by the Ifo Institute in Germany, which indicated that after a long-term low in March, business confidence started it’s improvement at the beginning of the second quarter.

On Friday Yen hits its highest level against the US dollar in the past four weeks. Yen, which was one of the most purchased currencies in February and March, lost its popularity by mid-April.

Dollar has not been weaker against Yen since the 30th of March, since then it dropped by 0.9%. The main reason for these changes is the fact that China claimed rising of its gold reserves and the fact that China is able to diversify its reserves of foreign assets, though still staying with major world currencies.

Australian dollar decreased to its 1985 year level in relation to USD after the investors decreased holdings of high profitable assets due to the opinion that the global economy will experience recession.

The morning forex trades in Sydney resulted in decrease of the United States dollar in relation to major currencies caused by the declined possibility of the interest rates hike by the Federal Reserve. According to last data the USD was traded at 108.18 Japanese Yen and the Euro was traded at $1.5475.

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The morning forex trades in Tokyo resulted in the growth of the USD in relation to yen caused by the increased demand and possibility of the basic materials costs growth. So the USD reached 105.07 yen and the Euro - $1.5765. However it is expected that the US dollar will decrease soon due to the US unemployment numbers that have increased throughout the May. The jobless level in the US reached the 5.5% point throughout the May instead of the 5.1 percent predicted by the experts.

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The United States currency decreased a bit in relation to major currencies throughout morning forex trades in Sydney. This was the consequence of the USD decrease in relation to the yen that turned to be the largest one for the last after the possibility of the credit crisis rebounded. Decrease of the credit ratings of Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley and Lehman Brothers contributed to the purchase of the safe haven and lead to the significant growth of the Japanese Yen and Swiss franc. The USD was traded at 104.38 yen and the Euro gained to $1.5541.

The Tokyo Forex session showed a decrease of the United States currency in relation to Euro that was caused by the effect of the short-term players. So this is the fall that followed the increase of the USD occurred yesterday after the opinion that the US economy will not witness a recession appeared.

This morning Forex trading session in Sydney showed the further growth of the United States Dollar in relation to other currencies caused by the actions aimed to the recovery of the economy of the country. This has also caused the growth of the US Treasury yields.

During the morning forex trades the Japanese Yen was at the point of 105.23 in relation to the USD and the Euro get the point of 1.5461 against the US dollar.

The United States dollar strengthened its positions in relation to main currencies throughout the last forex trading session. It has reached the point 104.80 against the Japanese Yen and 1.5349 in relation to Euro. Among the reason caused this growth we can outline such factors as the speech of the Thomas Hoenig the Kansas City Federal Reserve President and the growth of the US productivity that turned to be higher than expected.

The latest Forex trades showed the Euro increased again after the short period of decline however this instability shows nothing but the problems of the European economy. The purchasing manager’s index for the previous month increased up to 51.8 point but the growth trend was reported only by Germany; as for the Spain, France and Italy they have reported the slowdown.
As for the whole market opinion there are talks about further decreasing of the Euro.